With interest in the final Skywalker Saga episode peaking by the minute and the days dripping down to it’s release (51 days and counting) thoughts turn from the show to the business part of show business and the potential box office haul that The Rise of Skywalker could be looking forward to.
While no one is expecting the film to get anywhere near Avengers: Endgame numbers, a worldwide haul somewhere between The Force Awakens ($2.2bn) and The Last Jedi ($1.3bn) seems likely. Box Office Pro take a look at the domestic figures and what could work in the films favour, or against it.
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
Opening Weekend Range: $185 – 225 million
Domestic Total Range: $550 – 750 millionPROS
As a rule of thumb, Star Wars trilogies have developed an emerging pattern in the only two sample cases: the first film establishes major, benchmark-setting numbers and proves to be the highest grosser of its trio, the second film declines significantly and generates the lowest attendance of that respective trilogy, and the third film rebounds for a second-best performance. It remains to be seen if Skywalker solidifies that trend, but a strong finish to the story is more likely to result in that outcome than not.
CONS
Word of mouth is critical for almost any movie, but for a series where expectations are frequently sky-high, Abrams and Lucasfilm’s ability to do something fresh and simultaneously appease one of the most demanding fan bases in all of entertainment will play a pivotal role in this finale’s effort to recapture the kind of audience and box office magic it was enjoying just a few short years ago.
Some interesting and relevant points are made in the piece. How much do you think TROS will take at the US domestic and worldwide box office? Let us know on any of our social media feeds.
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