On it’s 13th day on release The Rise of Skywalker passed the $400 million dollar mark in the States, the 7th fastest film to achieve that tally, a day slower than The Last Jedi and 3 days faster than Rogue One. With $407,782,706 in the bank, it sits $35m behind where The Last Jedi was at the same point and $222m behind The Force Awakens. It has a good chance to becoming the 6th fastest to $450m should it have a solid Thursday and the expected $35m+ 3rd weekend.
On the all-time domestic chart the film now lies in 34th position, with only 7 films ahead of it not grossing $1bn worldwide. A decent weekend of around $35m will see it leapfrog up into 19th position, where the only film still ahead that hasn’t grossed $1bn worldwide is 1977’s A New Hope. On the all-time worldwide chart, the film is now in 84th position with $815,682,706. Monday should see it well up the list around 60th position, passing Revenge of the Sith to become the most successful final chapter in a Star Wars trilogy at the worldwide box office.
Tracking for the films long term success appears to be slowing, indicating that while the film will certainly be staggeringly successful, breaking into the billion dollar club (the 5th Star Wars film to do so after The Phantom Menace, Rogue One, The Last Jedi and The Force Awakens), a final tally somewhere between Rogue One and The Last Jedi seems likely. At the international box office the film is $300m behind The Last Jedi, a figure that it’s now almost certain to fall short of with the film open in all but two countries and $116m behind Rogue One, a figure it should be able to attain.
As it stands in North America, Rise is $124m behind Rogue One ($532,177,324) and $212m behind The Last Jedi ($620,181,382). With the majority of modern blockbusters slowing down significantly after 5 weeks on release, a final tally somewhere in the region of $550m in North America looks optimistic. By comparison TLJ had taken $598m by its 35th day, but took a further 15 weeks to reach its final tally of $620m in the States.
Remember, Monday 13th January will see the Oscar nominations announced and while the Golden Globes have shown zero love for the film, the Academy may well feel differently with technical nominations looking likely as well as a final nod for John Williams 43 years after A New Hope first arrived.
